⚠️

Risk scores are statistical indicators based on prescribing patterns compared to specialty peers. They are NOT allegations of fraud, misconduct, or improper care. Many legitimate medical reasons can explain outlier prescribing.

Read our methodology →

Aaron EstersonMD

Family Practice · Champlain, NY 12919

NPI: 1023469319

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21

🟡 Moderate

ML Fraud Detection Score: 85%

Machine learning model identifies prescribing patterns consistent with confirmed fraud cases. This is a statistical indicator, not an accusation.

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Risk Flags

High antipsychotic prescribing (65+)Opioid + benzodiazepine co-prescriber

Risk indicators are statistical patterns, not allegations. Learn more

8,654

Total Claims

$1.3M

Drug Cost

610

Beneficiaries

$2,078

Cost/Patient

Risk Score Breakdown 21/100

Low (0)Moderate (15)Elevated (30)High (50+)
Elderly antipsychotic prescribing+10
Opioid + benzodiazepine combo+8

Score components are additive. Read full methodology

Peer Comparison vs. 106,889 Family Practice providers

+257%

Opioid rate vs peers

9.2% vs 2.6% avg

+95%

Cost per patient vs peers

$2,078 vs $1,068 avg

+52%

Brand preference vs peers

13.7% vs 9.0% avg

⚠️ Opioid + Benzodiazepine Co-Prescriber

This provider prescribes both opioids and benzodiazepines. The FDA has issued a Black Box Warning about the life-threatening risks of concurrent use.

🔎 Data Overview

🤖

ML fraud detection score of 85% indicates prescribing patterns with significant similarity to confirmed fraud cases. 17 out of 20 decision trees flagged this provider.

💊

Opioid rate is 257% above Family Practice peers. This is a significant deviation that may reflect a specialized patient population or concerning prescribing patterns.

⚠️

This provider co-prescribes opioids and benzodiazepines — a combination carrying an FDA Black Box Warning due to increased risk of respiratory depression and death. While sometimes clinically necessary, this combination requires careful justification.

Insights generated from CMS data analysis. Statistical patterns are not accusations — always consider clinical context.

Opioid Prescribing

9.2%

Opioid Rate

797

Opioid Claims

$78K

Opioid Cost

15.8%

Long-Acting Rate

Brand vs Generic

86% generic

Brand: 1,174 claims · $1.0M

Generic: 7,384 claims · $244K

Top Prescribed Drugs

Drug (Generic)ClaimsCost
Semaglutide115$158K
Empagliflozin88$115K
Apixaban92$89K
Liraglutide26$49K
Dulaglutide30$47K
Linaclotide34$45K
Insulin Glargine,hum.Rec.Anlog53$35K
Budesonide/Formoterol Fumarate58$34K
Dapagliflozin Propanediol18$27K
Rivaroxaban25$23K
Oxycodone Hcl207$20K
Fluticasone/Umeclidin/Vilanter23$20K
Oxymorphone Hcl37$19K
Umeclidinium Bromide32$18K
Insulin Glargine,hum.Rec.Anlog25$15K

Prescribing Profile

135

Unique Drugs

$254K

IRA Negotiated Drugs

$254K

GLP-1 Drugs

21.0

Anomaly Score

Patient Profile

68

Avg Age

46%

Female

1.25

Avg Risk Score

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Data from CMS Medicare Part D Prescriber Public Use File, 2023. Risk scores are statistical indicators, not allegations of wrongdoing.Methodology · About · Dispute this data